Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.134739 0.157843 0.183281 0.213303 0.247706 0.285830 0.331213
2026-01-11 0.097657 0.129048 0.167408 0.217430 0.280604 0.357371 0.457313
2026-01-18 0.076380 0.110608 0.155842 0.219336 0.305378 0.417025 0.571791
2026-01-25 0.061844 0.096745 0.145989 0.219433 0.324823 0.468961 0.678960
2026-02-01 0.050617 0.084868 0.136098 0.216696 0.338260 0.512219 0.776645
2026-02-08 0.041929 0.074954 0.127066 0.213123 0.348858 0.551079 0.870182
2026-02-15 0.034213 0.065062 0.116298 0.204888 0.350612 0.576006 0.944186
2026-02-22 0.031468 0.063039 0.117770 0.216078 0.383466 0.650407 1.098838
2026-03-01 0.026474 0.056070 0.109765 0.210163 0.387392 0.679137 1.183609
2026-03-08 0.022130 0.049514 0.101463 0.202458 0.387054 0.700296 1.257040
2026-03-15 0.018911 0.044586 0.095392 0.197853 0.391297 0.728920 1.344389
2026-03-22 0.017066 0.042172 0.093761 0.201236 0.410025 0.783510 1.479539
2026-03-29 0.015731 0.040697 0.093909 0.208288 0.436643 0.854811 1.650565
2026-04-05 0.014284 0.038722 0.092772 0.212671 0.458678 0.919797 1.815640
2026-04-12 0.012819 0.036421 0.090592 0.214573 0.475911 0.977100 1.970688
2026-04-19 0.011416 0.033995 0.087761 0.214672 0.489361 1.028055 2.117213
2026-04-26 0.010018 0.031297 0.083898 0.211989 0.496690 1.067602 2.244686
2026-05-03 0.008760 0.028714 0.079912 0.208486 0.501818 1.103006 2.366345
2026-05-10 0.007436 0.025656 0.074281 0.200414 0.496128 1.116093 2.444825
2026-05-17 0.007183 0.025702 0.076521 0.211383 0.533653 1.220044 2.711412
2026-05-24 0.006215 0.023349 0.072142 0.205584 0.532561 1.243522 2.816111
2026-05-31 0.005309 0.020977 0.067325 0.198032 0.526567 1.255982 2.898642
2026-06-07 0.004631 0.019197 0.063863 0.193518 0.527250 1.282732 3.012656